What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Madagascar

(xG) 1.00 - 1.00

Nigeria

Mathematical Predictions: Madagascar vs Nigeria

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5

Probability 67.67% Pending

MATCH RESULT

Draw

Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Madagascar Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Madagascar
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
No historical records found.

Nigeria Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Nigeria
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
No historical records found.

Madagascar vs Nigeria

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis

World Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

2027-03-24T19:00:00

TBA

In their previous 1 head-to-head matches, Madagascar scored an average of 1.00 goals per match, compared to Nigeria 2.00 goals.

Over their last 10 matches, Madagascar scored an average of 1.00 and conceded 1.00, whereas Nigeria scored 0.00 and conceded 3.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Madagascar vs Nigeria match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.00 for Madagascar and 1.00 for Nigeria. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 67.67%.

H2H - Madagascar vs. Nigeria

24 Mar 27

Madagascar

(HT -)

Nigeria

25 Sep 26

Nigeria

2 - 1

(HT 1-1)

Madagascar

Team Form (Last 6)

Madagascar

17 Nov vs Equatorial Guinea 2-0

28 Mar @ Kyrgyzstan 2-5

31 Mar @ Equatorial Guinea 1-1

02 Jun @ Morocco 4-0

25 Sep @ Nigeria 2-1

29 Sep vs Tanzania 1-1

Nigeria

26 May vs Zimbabwe 2-0

30 May @ Jamaica 0-3

03 Jun @ Poland 2-2

10 Jun @ Portugal 2-1

25 Sep vs Madagascar 2-1

29 Sep @ Guinea-Bissau 3-0

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.